Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 2510.060305 2717.492296 2927.635529 3156.164048 3397.374501 3644.102713 3915.245088
2025-02-09 2161.375154 2468.742902 2791.860079 3155.684427 3552.758793 3971.818409 4446.343189
2025-02-16 1920.628276 2284.642370 2678.044429 3132.414775 3640.307908 4188.185449 4821.465084
2025-02-23 1772.726510 2181.507023 2633.522513 3166.490639 3773.731669 4440.159785 5222.855386
2025-03-02 1629.685779 2069.251121 2565.587598 3161.799981 3852.712006 4622.493068 5539.144970
2025-03-09 1537.868487 2007.595646 2547.837615 3207.338818 3982.765176 4857.814491 5911.952571
2025-03-16 1418.661309 1904.637255 2473.975696 3180.181191 4022.401472 4984.661981 6156.819017
2025-03-23 1362.905948 1873.969825 2482.107185 3246.562478 4169.017728 5233.684656 6542.352098
2025-03-30 1287.966782 1814.573536 2451.185404 3262.202194 4252.319518 5406.544985 6837.884214
2025-04-06 1213.861961 1751.727938 2412.093056 3264.339114 4316.504445 5554.781866 7103.240094
2025-04-13 1103.140501 1636.004519 2301.759923 3173.477647 4263.086904 5558.874534 7194.064207
2025-04-20 1084.512306 1639.149302 2340.508893 3267.958707 4436.987484 5837.002758 7614.496672
2025-04-27 1050.998336 1621.732111 2352.959398 3330.247924 4573.191937 6072.865617 7989.179374
2025-05-04 992.994390 1568.516832 2316.806274 3328.811600 4628.717361 6209.999644 8244.832987
2025-05-11 930.339387 1505.649138 2265.081116 3304.633595 4653.362660 6307.572335 8451.232941
2025-05-18 895.141301 1479.157460 2260.101627 3340.057398 4753.014110 6497.896425 8772.234572
2025-05-25 847.435741 1432.510676 2225.907897 3335.181410 4799.556579 6621.115220 9010.010845
2025-06-01 821.576315 1415.955673 2231.593932 3382.516325 4913.272376 6828.909399 9353.950394
2025-06-08 771.261508 1361.162449 2182.442454 3354.288444 4926.907547 6909.124371 9537.695381
2025-06-15 756.608525 1358.527828 2205.337912 3423.281326 5068.228446 7152.190217 9927.437227
2025-06-22 725.702368 1329.873631 2190.355846 3439.534182 5139.211273 7305.207226 10203.826690
2025-06-29 692.179493 1295.617959 2166.036760 3441.754815 5190.693331 7432.790028 10448.087541
2025-07-06 631.587054 1216.314819 2074.134053 3347.320330 5110.134208 7387.632675 10470.192268